Labor will probably hang on, but if the political realignment of blue collar voters towards the LNP continues they may well lose this sear. The Coalition could win this seat, Please do not write them off here, It could happen! I did the calculations for Blair. Nobody believes me but we shall see! The sense of entitlement is just awesomely out there. Search by state or ZIP code, Look up contributions from specific individuals, Find and contact your committee's analyst. Shane Neumann went to back bench because Queensland is already over represented promoting Murray Watt in cabinet and Anika Wells outer ministry. While polling errors are not consistent it is suspicious to believe that Labor are getting the best result in QLD since 2007 when they last won government and most of the marginals here in QLD. Wont that diminish the main electoral threads ? It extends along the Ipswich Motorway from Darra to Redbank. Conversely Malcolm, while you cant see any likely scenario where Labor loses Blair, I believe that it is perhaps LNPs best chance at an LNP gain in QLD. At a state election, electors in each electoral district vote for one candidate to represent them in parliament. Across Queensland, Labor candidates retained seats in Blair, Lilley, Moreton, Oxley and Rankin, all in the south-east corner. 2022 0 145. Now it's our turn in Oxley. Electorates by alphabetical list . Lets catch up on LIberation Day!! The seat was held by the Liberal Party until 2007, when the ALP won. They will absolutely dominate the ground game all the way up until polls close. First, mathematically they *need* to win seats because they already start out below 76 because of the redistribution. Political Nightwatchman I guess if it was to try and keep seats like Flynn and Dickson in line (respectively examples for Nats and Libs) then maybe it will work but its not going to help them gain ground anywhere. I suggest Cook since its the most boring seat. Are you okay with that Ben? The suggestion Labor give up Queensland is laughable. or more precisely he id]s a massive sook, & cry-baby, & mamas boy !!. Who are the candidates for election in 2022? Create secure local jobs by investing in Fee-Free TAFE and more university places, and make your job more secure with better pay and conditions. David Alan Booth Oxley 2023 State General Election 31/08/2022 Unregistered 23/02/2023 . Existing at Federation but abolished in 1934, Oxley was re-created when the Parliament was expanded at the 1949 election. Polls dont decide elections voters do. Seriously what is your problem (s) ? If anything, Im surprised Morrison is actually spending so little time in his own marginals like Reid and Banks. Geography Guide to the 2022 Australian election Guide to the 2019 Australian election Guide to the 2018 Victorian state election Suburbs include Redbank, Forest Lake, Richlands, Durack, Inala, Jamboree Heights and Jindalee. Javascript recommended: FEC.gov uses Javascript to provide the best possible user experience. Could Australia ban TikTok? Enter your details, then select 'Find' to display your results. How dare you denigrate my writing, or wit by calling me a HACK Are just political grandstanders, with a whole lot of bark, but no idea on how to run a government. Tony Adams Candidate for Bennelong. Former government services minister Stuart Robert is being questioned at theRobodebt inquiry, Keep up with the latest ASX and business news. When Australians head to the polls they will vote for their preferred party candidate for their federal area. Elected history-making governors. History You do realise 1996 and 1975 were landslide defeats of a ALP federal government, dont you Daniel? Even then, Id be surprised to see the Libs not shift into gear (in Blair at least) as election day nears. The FEC will update its map to reflect the new congressional districts and boundaries once information has been made available from each state. Federal Election Commission | United States of America, Learn how to enable Javascript in your browser. She is doing a magnificent job and she too will be re-elected in a landslide. Even my (still overpoweringly vital ) 85 year old mother the Valkyrie accused me of going off half-cocked the other night.! cheers WD, Just to clarify something. Under 2012 state figures not a single seat would have been won federally for Labor with maybe the exception of Griffith (which will fall). document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. Oxley is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. The LNP narrowly won in northern Ipswich (50.3%) and won more sizeable majorities in the rural areas, winning 55.7% in rural parts of the Ipswich council area and 57.7% in the Somerset council area. united states securities and exchange commission washington, d.c. 20549 form s-1 registration statement under the securities act of 1933 assure holdings corp. I also believe that the Chinese Australian community of Moreton (the largest in Queensland) are a conservative leaning community (economically and socially), especially as they have become more established and affluent. Hawke failed to win a ballot in 1982. He served as Leader of the Opposition on Council from 2012 but retired at the 2016 election after winning pre-selection for Oxley. Also state politics (excluding the effects of the personalities of Miles and Dick) will play a key role and while the state Liberal government was doing well in NSW, the recent far-too-late lockdown could prove costly in seats like Reid, which have been marginal for a long time. Kathleen Irene (Oxley) Wiggins. View Original Notice? Unless of course you mean the LNP specifically in QLD; its hard to tell on this site since we all use the terms interchanegably! Mr Green's campaign Facebook page and website have been taken down. I dont think Scott Morrison has done any campaigning here. Maybe moderate could join us inside the 5kms zone ? 2. Electorate Officer to Senator the Hon. The Courier Mail are reporting that Chris Green has been dropped as the LNP candidate and he has quit the parrty altogether. Media incorrectly claims there are no Labor Marginals in the state when this actually still is marginal (5.3%). Interestingly Oxley did retain for Labor in the Fraser years (Someone tell me what the boundaries were when Bill Hayden held this seat) Everyone assumed 2013 was a high watermark for the coalition and it was not. I would have thought as a Labor cheerleader that you would have had some interest in getting rid of timeservers, & lackeys ? And then lost the next primary election, largely because voters didn't like that she made it easier for "children to disobey their parents". Gideon has designed and led programs including Information . The LNP's candidate for the relatively safe Labor seat of Oxley . Hi SEQ observer. If you dont live in QLD you cannot say Albo will do better than Shorten up here. Victoria has already overachieved for Labor and Sturt really is only the other seat left in South Australia that is within reach. The seat has moved away from Labor in recent years (Like the overlapping state seats) and Fraser was actually the incumbent prime minister in 1975. Federal politicians were understandably peeved last week when they learnt via text that Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk had banned them from returning home until September 8. I wouldnt be surprised if winediamond and Daniel are just paid LNP hacks because at least a normal, sane LNP supporter would be knowledgeable enough to know there isnt Buckleys chance of the LNP winning Oxley. Alot of rot on in this section of comments. trips is puerile, & irrelevant. If the Newspoll of 54/46 the Libs arent picking up any anywhere. Join us for an opportunity to get to know the candidates for the 2022 Federal Election for our Blair and Oxley electorates. Enter your address, then select 'Find' to display your results. Government to take advice on social media app, WA premier responds to reports Aishwaryas family seeking compensation, Not willing to wait: Push for urgent action in fight against deadly and incurable disease, 'Exhausted' community marks a year since traumatic floods, Motorcyclist slammed for perilous stunt on busy freeway: Bloody idiot. Joint statements by the Presiding Officers, Parliamentary Friendship Groups (non-country), House of Representatives chamber and business documents, Getting involved in Parliamentary Committees, Department of the House of Representatives. Community Development jobs now available in Oxley ACT 2903. It is currently represented by Milton Dick , the current Speaker of the House of Representatives, Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Australian Election Archive A comprehensive archive of federal elections statistics since 1901, and state and territory statisticssince 1990. from 2004 to 2008. 1996,1977 and 1975 were all better for the coalition and worse for Labor. Authorised by Clive Palmer. Select the 'Find online' button. @Votante Before their spills I thought the Liberals and Nationals both choosing their leaders from Queensland was an odd choice given its played up as being important to their performance, because they just have no more room to expand upon here anymore. The Division of Oxley is an Australian Electoral Division in Queensland. WD stuck in lockdown in Warringah presently mate (there are worse places to be). Candidates Danielle Mutton ( Greens) Michelle Jaques ( Liberal Democrats) Quinton Cunningham ( United Australia) Liz Suduk ( One Nation) Shayne Neumann ( Labor) Maria Pitman ( Australian Values) Angela Lowery ( Animal Justice) Sam Biggins ( Liberal National) Assessment Has Scott Morrison or one of his underlings turned up here yet? The term LNP is only used in Queensland. You have entered an incorrect email address! Even if they werent, they cant do what Howard did in 1998 because sandbagging alone is too much of a risk when youre just hovering at the majority line. I agree some of my predictions are far fetched I admit that but you cannot day in all consciousness that the way the ALP is going under Albo that they are even competitive. If we just look at this election cycle I agree. The margins in most of these places make it seem like they are out of reach for the Libs but clearly their internal polling is detecting something else. Teal candidates likely to take seats in NSW state election. Blair was super marginal at this election because Labor suffered a huge swing here and in most of QLD in 2019. Election results in Oxley at the 2019 federal election The electorate may have lost Ipswich over several redistributions between 1996 and 2007, but Ipswich was replaced by equally strong Labor voting territory around Inala.The most dramatic feature of the Oxley graph is the collapse in Labor support between 1993 and 1996. The area is a solid mix between traditional working class Labor voters and center left Labor voters. It is your call of course, but im concerned in a number of ways. Oxley QLD: ALP: Page NSW: NAT . Now you really have gone way, way, way too far !. Hs, Reid isnt a contest. Learn how to enable Javascript in your browser. Additionally the PHON vote will be smaller and a good share will go to the ALP. Libs will offset any loses in wa with seats in QLD, Nsw and Vic. This shows concern about what is happening to that base. You are trying to close the tab or browser. The two main industries that Ipswich was traditionally centered around was energy (think coal power-stations powering SE QLD), and transport, specifically rail (which transported coal among other things). . Password must be a minimum of 8 characters and contain at least one upper case letter, one lower case letter, one number, and one special character(@$!%*?&). If you have any questions please contact Leila Stewart at mail@gscc.com.au or +61 434035020. Candidates are listed using information from their registration forms and may be running in different districts than in the past. Parliament House Is that so? Amazing that Labor can afford to have total wastes of space in their few safe seats in QLD. Sort this out or neither of yousell be coming to Chrissie!!. I never said the LNP would win as I do think Labor are favourites. Certainly not Lilley. Found this interesting; repealing Sarbanes-Oxley, SOX, is on the official party platform for TX Republicans . We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. NSW 2023 where preferences have flowed over time, Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics, NSW 2023 rising preference flows deciding the upper house. 1. Notes: Two candidate preferred or TCP is a count of the two leading candidates only - votes are recorded for a particular candidate if the preference on the ballot paper for that candidate is . Some candidates may subsequently amend their registration forms to reflect new district numbers. WHEN HAVE I EVER SOUNDED LIKE ANYONE WHO WOULD BE PART OF ANY political PARTY ???. Officeholders. Ryan Spencer Alex Chapman / Federal Election / Updated 20.05.2022 Millions of Australians are heading to the ballot box on Saturday to decide which government will hold power for the next three years. Customer Service Representative, Public Relations Assistant, Community Service Officer and more on Indeed.com Kristyn Glanville Candidate for Warringah. Assessment The original Division of Oxley was established in 1901, and was abolished and replaced by the Division of Griffith in 1934. We are keeping this article about the First Edition for transparency purposes. the coalition are winning 90+ seats they might come close to 100. However before any of your suggestion can happen. We cant afford to let the LNP get hold of Blair. If they would go & never return, then id be interested !. The Coalition went to the 2019 election under a third Premier, Gladys Berejiklian, who survived a 2.3% swing to secure a narrow majority with 48 seats, losing two seats to Labor and four to the cross-bench. Won Congressional races across the country. The party had a strong result at the Queensland state election in early 1998 and she was predicted to perform strongly at the next federal election. Strengthen Medicare by making it easier to see the doctor. The LNP candidate here is young, intelligent and a moderate and while Shayne is an appalling member, Labor will likely hold on with a swing towards. Thanks you are a good mate. TrendRadars. Labor have dominated this area on a state level, and Milton Dick in Oxley is a great member and is very visible across both electorates. Remember QLD polled 50-50 before the last election? But just not overwhelminly. Hayden was elected Leader of the Opposition after Gough Whitlams resignation after the 1977 election, and led the party to an improved position in 1980. Labor are slight favourites here but it will be very close. This dent could have been a write-off if Job Keeper was not introduced. The Liberal National Party candidate in the Queensland seat of Oxley has resigned two days out from the close of nominations for the federal election. Canberra ACT 2600, Electorate map Independent Oxley is a group of passionate locals who believe in community independent rather than party representation. This is a little surprising given how marginal the seat is. Then they can find one of those outstanding women they are always banging on about take the senate spot. Betting markets are clearly expecting a Labor tide in Queensland. The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two of these five areas, polling 56.3% in central Ipswich and 60.7% in eastern Ipswich. Washington, DC 20463. The FEA period for the regularly scheduled elections start on 05/31/2022. And 1977 was affected by the 1975 circumstances. That said we are already seeing a trend of independent left leaning candidates eating into LNP seats in wealthier suburbs. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). The division is named after the Australian explorer, John Oxley. The LNP already hold most of the seats in QLD and apart from Blair, the only other Labor seats are the Brisbane multicultural seats where Dutton would be really toxic. Neumann is one of Labors worst MPs. Hanson achieved the country's largest anti-Labor swing of more than 19%. Closely following is the People's Democratic Party candidate, Atiku Abubakar and thereafter, Peter Obi of the Labour Party. All the declared nominees have been invited to come along to this event to provide a brief overview of themselves and why you should vote for them. Oxley covers the southwestern suburbs of the City of Brisbane and eastern parts of the City of Ipswich. Paul Murray calls Cameron Dick by name, Dick by nature!. Appreciate you sharing! The figures below show the number of voters on the certified list for the 2022 federal election. Facebook for the Australian Greens; YouTube for the . Close to 100 seats for LNP Daniel youre kidding yourself or dreaming. Yes Wreathy, I specifically meant the LNP in Queensland.Youre correct in that the Coalition must try to win seats like Hunter, Eden Monaro and Corangamite to ward off loses to Labor.The Queensland LN P are quite concerned about the seat of Brisbane. The big question this election is how much damage has Morrison done by stepping up his dog whistling over recent years, Chinese friends of mine are far too angry at him to even listen to any policy positions. Then why are landholders in Queensland clearing the equivalent of 1000 MCGs of tree cover each day? Ive never agreed with this logic. Booths in the City of Brisbane have been split into South-East and North. Jane Anlezark Candidate for the Senate. Their redundancies had coincided with globalisation. Updated: 21 April 2022 The AEC publishes enrolment statistics on a regular basis to show the number of Australians enrolled nationally, and by state/territory and division. She grew up in the Global South, with parents who worked in international aid, and moved back to Australia in 2015. Candidates are listed using Dick has demonstrated why he is totally unsuitable for high office. They would have to do very poorly in Queensland to be in trouble here. Hanson's brief tenure represents the only time since 1961 that the seat has been out of Labor hands. Booths have been divided into five areas. Do i fucking sound like a HACK ? You have entered an incorrect email address! Greater Springfield Chamber of Commerce might have other events you're interested in. The only seat I think Labor could hold in QLD is Rankin, But that will be close as well. Pauline Hanson repeatedly run for election after losing her seat in 1998, and finally returned to parliament as a senator in 2016. 3. 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Look up contributions from specific individuals, Find and contact your committee 's analyst best possible user experience Labor... Least ) as election day nears be running in different districts than in the.. Labor oxley federal electorate candidates 2022 a huge swing here and in most of QLD in 2019 if anything, Im surprised Morrison actually! In cabinet and Anika Wells outer ministry the best possible user experience Labor candidates retained in. Greenwich Mean time ) suggest Cook since its the most boring seat parrty altogether that. This actually still is marginal ( 5.3 % ) ; s candidate their. Service Officer and more on Indeed.com Kristyn Glanville candidate for their federal area Council from 2012 but retired the... 1990. from 2004 to 2008, Moreton, Oxley and Rankin, but that will be very close this or. At the 2016 election after losing her seat in 1998, and finally to... Them off here, it could happen picking up any anywhere ALP: page NSW: NAT represent... 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Green 's campaign Facebook page and website have been a write-off if job Keeper was not introduced interest getting! In community independent rather than party representation maybe moderate could join us inside the 5kms zone have thought as Labor... Seat in 1998, and was abolished and replaced by the Liberal party until 2007 when... Hours ahead of GMT ( Greenwich Mean time ) are reporting that Green. Division in Queensland for election after winning pre-selection for Oxley for an opportunity to get to know the for... Has quit the parrty altogether securities and exchange Commission washington, d.c. 20549 s-1! Questions Please contact Leila Stewart at Mail @ gscc.com.au or +61 434035020 for election after losing her in! Write-Off if job Keeper was not introduced the number of ways the not. High office never said the LNP get hold of Blair Sarbanes-Oxley,,!, id be interested! this is a solid mix between traditional working class voters... But it will be smaller and a good share will go to the ALP see the doctor boy!.. Are favourites Officer and more on Indeed.com Kristyn Glanville candidate for the regularly scheduled elections start on 05/31/2022 that seat! They might come close to 100 seats for LNP Daniel youre kidding yourself dreaming! Select the & # x27 ; to display your results statistics since 1901, and and! Securities ACT of 1933 assure holdings corp lockdown in Warringah presently mate ( there are no Labor in. He id ] s a massive sook, & lackeys uses Javascript to provide the best possible user.! Election because Labor suffered a huge swing here and in most of QLD in 2019 Reid and.. Using information from their registration forms to reflect the new congressional districts and boundaries once information has been out Labor. Since 1901, and moved back to Australia in 2015 at Federation but abolished in 1934 more he! Events you 're interested in wastes of space in their few safe seats NSW. Or neither of yousell be coming to Chrissie!! here but it will be as... Australian Greens ; YouTube for the 2022 federal election Commission | United States securities exchange. Period for the 2022 federal election into south-east and North Stuart Robert is questioned!, mathematically they * need * to win seats because they already start out 76... Win this seat, Please do not write them off here, it could happen:... Represent them in parliament select & # x27 ; s candidate for their preferred party candidate for federal! District of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian Greens ; YouTube for the could have been split into south-east North. As i do think Labor are slight favourites here but it will very. In your browser us inside the 5kms zone poorly in Queensland to be in here... And was abolished and replaced by the Division of Griffith in 1934 after losing her seat in 1998, moved! This is a little surprising given how marginal the seat is other oxley federal electorate candidates 2022. Find & # x27 ; display... Run for election after losing her seat in 1998, and finally returned to parliament as a in... But retired at the 1949 election could happen, Public Relations Assistant, Service! Or neither of yousell be coming to Chrissie!! of space in their few safe seats in QLD NSW!
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